Dak Prescott made NFL history this week by securing $ 126 million in guaranteed money as part of his $ 160 million renewal Dallas Cowboys. The quarterback is also now the second highest paid player in his position, just behind him Kansas City Chiefs Superstar Patrick Mahomes. But Dak’s big deal probably won’t be the last of the 2021 off-season.

While the Cowboys waited a long time to jail their previous fourth-round draft pick, a handful of other teams won’t want to pull out inevitable extensions for their own young callers, especially if long-term deals could fall short-term salary cap place at a time , in which teams are struggling with pandemic-related cuts. We consider three QBs in particular: The BrownsBaker Mayfield, the billsJosh Allen, and the RavensLamar Jacksonwho all have rookie contracts that expire after 2021.

All three QBs could potentially be maintained through 2023 without large cash extensions. Each of their respective teams can exercise options for the fifth year as well as potential franchise tags for the following year during this off-season. However, the cheaper route means paying sooner rather than later. And right now, all three QBs from the 2018 Design Class are virtual locks to keep up to date.

With that in mind, who among Mayfield, Allen and Jackson are most likely to get the biggest deal?

Let’s first consider their respective effects after three seasons in the NFL::

  • Number 1 in 2018, Mayfield was by far the trio’s “pedestrian” and suffered a huge drop after a promising rookie year before bouncing back in 2020. But he was also quietly the most productive passerby of the bunch over three years. His arm and size aren’t nearly as mind-blowing as everyone’s, but he leads the group in touchdown passes and yards per game. Mayfield was a rather sturdy game manager for Cleveland’s fatal offense in 2020 and looked far more comfortable.
  • Anyone who finished 7th has seen the most meteoric rise, from boom-or-bust playmaker to legitimate MVP candidate. His talent for overtime will always put his game at risk, but he silenced hordes of critics pre-draft and early career by increasing his accuracy in late 2019 and 2020. An on-site bulldozer leading the trio in a hurry.It’s the safest, most exciting thing the Bills have had its focus on in decades, and it’s debatable whether its cap is the highest of the group.
  • Jackson, who stayed in the draft until No. 32, is the most physically gifted of the group, as his record marks show. Kyler Murray is on the way, but there’s no QB in the NFL who can move like Jackson; Its speed and change of direction can instantly change a game. He also has the best starting record of any QB here by far, although his playoff performances have been a lot less inspiring. The question with Jackson is whether he can consistently find his way to victory.

Here is a breakdown of all three QB numbers by three seasons:

Baker Mayfield

45

23-22 (1-1)

75 43 241.6 61.9 89.1 437 (4)

Josh Allen

43

28-15 (2-2)

67 31 220.6 61.8 90.4 1,562 (25)

Lamar Jackson

37

30-7 (1-3)

68 18th 154.0 64.0 102.6 2,906 (19)

If one thing should be clear, it is that all three are due and big money renewals will almost certainly be received. But this is how we would estimate their chances of actually resetting the market that Mahomes set with its $ 450 million mega-deal in 2020:

3. Baker Mayfield (Browns)

Projected Deal: Four years, $ 134 million ($ 33.5 million per year)

It is the most difficult to project just because its trajectory was less clear. Do / should the Browns want to keep him? Yes. He’s proven in 2020 that he can adapt to various roles at the Center, and he’s got Moxie to point out guard-like duties in Kevin Stefanski’s offense. But should the Browns buy the option, he’s next Russell Wilson? We’re not so sure, and probably not either. A four-year deal would allow both sides to reassess when Mayfield is only 30 years old. An annual average of $ 33.5 million would mark him the fifth or sixth highest paid QB, roughly equivalent or ahead Jared Goff ($ 33.5 million), Aaron Rodgers ($ 33.5 million), Kirk cousins ($ 33 ​​million) and Carson Wentz ($ 32M), but just behind proven QBs like Deshaun Watson ($ 39 million) and Wilson ($ 35 million).

2. Josh Allen (Bills)

Projected Deal: Four years, $ 168 million ($ 42 million a year)

Prescott’s deal has certainly helped everyone who will almost certainly turn in more than $ 40 million per season, considering he’s about three years younger and has better playing ability, let alone a current offer for one AFC title game. The fact that he’s only gotten better each season in the NFL also gives his representation a lot of leverage; What other young QB outside of Mahomes and maybe Watson is on a clearer upward trend to an MVP-level star? Buffalo probably won’t keep up with Mahomes’ annual average, considering Allen still has big playoff games to win, but the money should make him a guaranteed top-3 QB with the highest wages.

1. Lamar Jackson (ravens)

Trying to choose between Allen and Jackson for the next bigger deal is like flipping a coin, and many employees would prefer Allen to walk over Jackson’s legs. To be clear, Allen could very well top this list in terms of new money because in reality he looks more like the whole package during his ascent. But Jackson has a few things in his favor. For one thing, he’s incredibly young; He just turned 24, which means that even a four-year contract would get him back on the market at 28. His athleticism, we have found, is also unparalleled, giving the Ravens one or two of the best pure, transcendent talents in the NFL. For all the hassle he gets for his early playoff starts and inconsistent air numbers, Jackson is closest to Mahomes’ level in terms of physical aptitudes, and that will give him as much leeway – most of it justified – as he evolves .

Projected Deal: Four years, $ 170 million ($ 42.5 million per year)